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Customers/Churn prediction
Customers4 min read

Churn prediction

How Skubl identifies customers at risk of churning before they leave.

Skubl's churn prediction model scores every customer in your database with a risk probability. Customers are flagged as high-risk when their behaviour deviates from their personal purchase cadence.

Signals the model uses

  • Days since last purchase vs. personal average purchase interval
  • Decline in order frequency or average order value
  • Engagement drop across email or on-site behaviour (if Klaviyo or GA4 is connected)
  • Cohort comparison — how this customer compares to similar customers at the same tenure

Acting on churn risk

1

Review the Churn Risk page

Go to Customers → Churn Risk to see the list sorted by risk score.

2

Create a segment

Click 'Create segment from high-risk' to build an audience of at-risk customers.

3

Activate the segment

Push the segment to Klaviyo for a win-back email sequence, or to Meta Ads for a retargeting campaign.

A churn prediction is most useful when it's early. Set up an alert in Intelligence → Alerts to be notified whenever a segment's churn risk score crosses a threshold.

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